URA vs Kampala City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
URA v Kampala City — Team-Based Signals
URA vs Kampala City Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
URA
UGA
1-0
HT 1-0
Kampala City
UGA
URA 1-0 Kampala City — Actual Match Statistics
URA edged past Kampala City 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had URA as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, URA had 40% of the ball to Kampala City's 60%, shots finished 11-11.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kampala City led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for URA and 0.67 for Kampala City.
What was the final score of URA vs Kampala City?
URA 1-0 Kampala City in the Uganda - Premier League on 16/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for URA vs Kampala City?
Before kick-off our model rated a URA win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split URA 45%, draw 26%, Kampala City 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (URA), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.