16/04/2025
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-1
Kiboga Young vs Express Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
18%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
18%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
29%
Draw
26%
38%
Away Win
41%
61%
Under 2.5
48%
39%
Over 2.5
52%
45%
BTTS Yes
54%
55%
BTTS No
46%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kiboga Young v Express — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Kiboga Young
EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY
Express
EU Bookmakers 45%
-2% /
-2%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+12% /
+12%
0.51/1.95
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.21/0.52
-46%
/
-53%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+11%
/
+88%
49%
Ball Possession
51%
12
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
5
309 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
338 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.0
Yellow Cards
–
Kiboga Young vs Express Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Kiboga Young
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Express
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
2.00
41%
Ball Possession
59%
9
Total Shots
10
2
Shots on Target
4
2
Corners
2
0
Yellow Cards
1
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Kiboga Young vs Express
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Express squeezed past Kiboga Young 1-0 away from home.
We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 29% / 38% — and on the day Express made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.
What was the final score of Kiboga Young vs Express?
Kiboga Young 0-1 Express in the Uganda - Premier League on 16/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kiboga Young vs Express?
Before kick-off our model rated an Express win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Kiboga Young 33%, draw 29%, Express 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Express), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Express)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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UGA
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16 Apr 2025