BUL 0-0 Uganda Police — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 16 Apr 2025

📅16/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
17%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.27
No
56%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
25%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
11%
2/2
4%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
61%
-3.8pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.1pp
17%
Away Win
14%
+2.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.3pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BUL EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Uganda Police EU Bookmakers 17%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.40/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/0.81
-23% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +83%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
366 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BUL
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Uganda Police
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
16.09.2024 Uganda Police Uganda Police 0-0 HT 0-0 BUL BUL UGA
22.10.2021 BUL BUL 2-1 HT 1-1 Uganda Police Uganda Police UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BUL
0-0
AWAY Uganda Police
56% Ball Possession 44%
4 Total Shots 5
1 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 4
POST-MATCH BUL vs Uganda Police
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BUL and Uganda Police fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had BUL at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, BUL had 56% of the ball to Uganda Police's 44%, shots finished 4-5.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, BUL had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for BUL and 0.50 for Uganda Police.

What was the final score of BUL vs Uganda Police?

BUL 0-0 Uganda Police in the Uganda - Premier League on 16/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BUL vs Uganda Police?

Before kick-off our model rated a BUL win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split BUL 57%, draw 25%, Uganda Police 17%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (BUL) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (BUL) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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