Hollanda (K) 0-2 Almanya (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Karnten Unterliga, 28 Feb 2024

📅28/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
22%
3.28
Away
43%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.9
Over 2.5
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.7
No
54%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
3.36
2-3 Goals
36%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.52
6+ Goals
7%
13.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.36 — our 35% vs market 24.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+2.5pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.4pp
43%
Away Win
41%
+2.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
49%
+6.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
51%
-6.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
55%
-9.0pp
54%
BTTS No
45%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hollanda (K) EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Almanya (K) EU Bookmakers 45%
+57% / +57% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+110% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
302 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 76%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
10.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hollanda (K)
0-2
AWAY Almanya (K)
0.38 xG 1.82
53% Ball Possession 47%
6 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
294 Passes 245
74% Pass Accuracy 70%
21 Box Touches 26
22 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hollanda (K) vs Almanya (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almanya (K) beat Hollanda (K) 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Almanya (K) as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Hollanda (K) had 53% of the ball to Almanya (K)'s 47%, shots finished 6-19, expected goals 0.38 to 1.82.

What was the final score of Hollanda (K) vs Almanya (K)?

Hollanda (K) 0-2 Almanya (K) in the Austria - Karnten Unterliga on 28/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hollanda (K) vs Almanya (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Almanya (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Hollanda (K) 35%, draw 23%, Almanya (K) 43%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Almanya (K)), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Almanya (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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