Danimarka (K) 1-1 Avusturya (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 28 Feb 2024

📅28/02/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.72
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.21
Over 2.5
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
3%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
12%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
55%
-2.1pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.1pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+3.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.2pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Danimarka (K) EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Avusturya (K) EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +69% / +69%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% /
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
367 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.0
Crosses 12.0
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Danimarka (K)
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Avusturya (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
66% Ball Possession 34%
17 Total Shots 18
8 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 7
441 Passes 179
69% Pass Accuracy 54%
29 Box Touches 36
23 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.08.2017 Danimarka (K) Danimarka (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Avusturya (K) Avusturya (K) ABK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Danimarka (K)
1-1
AWAY Avusturya (K)
2.52 xG 0.58
46% Ball Possession 54%
22 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
344 Passes 422
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
45 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Danimarka (K) vs Avusturya (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Danimarka (K) and Avusturya (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Danimarka (K) at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Danimarka (K) had 46% of the ball to Avusturya (K)'s 54%, shots finished 22-6, expected goals 2.52 to 0.58.

What was the final score of Danimarka (K) vs Avusturya (K)?

Danimarka (K) 1-1 Avusturya (K) in the Friendlies on 28/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Danimarka (K) vs Avusturya (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Danimarka (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Danimarka (K) 53%, draw 22%, Avusturya (K) 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Danimarka (K)), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Danimarka (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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