Türkiye (K) 1-0 Romanya (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 28 Feb 2024

Türkiye (K)
1-0
Romanya (K)
📅28/02/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Friendlies – 2024

Türkiye (K) vs Romanya (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.96
Draw
33%
3.35
Away
23%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
12%
X/1
11%
X/2
6%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
47%
-3.4pp
33%
Draw
26%
+6.6pp
23%
Away Win
26%
-3.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.3pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Türkiye (K) v Romanya (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Türkiye (K) EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Romanya (K) EU Bookmakers 30%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -48% / -48%
1.56/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/3.71
-3% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -57%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
412 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Türkiye (K) vs Romanya (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Türkiye (K) squeezed past Romanya (K) 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Türkiye (K) as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of Türkiye (K) vs Romanya (K)?

Türkiye (K) 1-0 Romanya (K) in the Friendlies on 28/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Türkiye (K) vs Romanya (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Türkiye (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Türkiye (K) 44%, draw 33%, Romanya (K) 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Türkiye (K)), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Türkiye (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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