Rudes 0-1 Rijeka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - HR Nogometni Cup, 28 Feb 2024

Rudes
0-1 HT 0-0
Rijeka
📅28/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Croatia - HR Nogometni Cup – 2023/2024

Rudes vs Rijeka Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
6.35
Draw
26%
4.34
Away
52%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
23%
3.82
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
27%
3.2
6+ Goals
10%
10.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.82 — our 23% vs market 21.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
33%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
13%
+8.7pp
26%
Draw
20%
+6.3pp
52%
Away Win
67%
-15.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.9pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rudes v Rijeka — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rudes EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Rijeka EU Bookmakers 71%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -10%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.26/1.07
+17% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -26%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
258 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 406 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.2

Rudes vs Rijeka Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rudes
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Rijeka
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
0.68 xG 1.70
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
309 Passes 383
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
11 Box Touches 26
10 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
16.12.2023 Rijeka Rijeka 3-0 HT 1-0 Rudes Rudes HIR
01.10.2023 Rudes Rudes 1-2 HT 0-1 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
22.07.2023 Rijeka Rijeka 4-0 HT 1-0 Rudes Rudes HIR
28.04.2019 Rijeka Rijeka 3-1 HT 2-1 Rudes Rudes HIR
22.02.2019 Rudes Rudes 2-4 HT 1-2 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
05.11.2018 Rijeka Rijeka 5-1 HT 2-1 Rudes Rudes HIR

Rudes 0-1 Rijeka — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rudes
0-1
AWAY Rijeka
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Rudes vs Rijeka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rijeka nicked a narrow win over Rudes 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rijeka as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Rudes had 42% of the ball to Rijeka's 58%, shots finished 7-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rijeka led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Rudes and 3.50 for Rijeka.

What was the final score of Rudes vs Rijeka?

Rudes 0-1 Rijeka in the Croatia - HR Nogometni Cup on 28/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rudes vs Rijeka?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rijeka win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Rudes 22%, draw 26%, Rijeka 52%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rijeka) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rijeka)
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