Dinamo Zagreb 4-0 HNK Gorica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - HR Nogometni Cup, 28 Feb 2024

📅28/02/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.32
Draw
20%
4.81
Away
19%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.03
Over 2.5
55%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.13
No
50%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.82
2-3 Goals
37%
1.83
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
28%
3.21
6+ Goals
12%
10.95
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.21 — our 28% vs market 25.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
71%
-10.6pp
20%
Draw
18%
+2.2pp
19%
Away Win
11%
+8.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
45%
-0.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
55%
+0.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
43%
+6.8pp
50%
BTTS No
57%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Zagreb EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY HNK Gorica EU Bookmakers 14%
+3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
3.11/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.85
+17% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +58% / -3%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
447 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Zagreb
2W-3D-1L
AWAY HNK Gorica
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.41 xG 0.50
69% Ball Possession 31%
18 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
558 Passes 224
87% Pass Accuracy 72%
30 Box Touches 8
22 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.02.2024 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 2-0 HT 1-0 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
21.10.2023 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 2-1 HT 0-0 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
05.08.2023 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 0-0 HT 0-0 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
28.05.2023 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 4-1 HT 2-1 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
01.04.2023 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 1-1 HT 0-0 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
21.01.2023 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 0-0 HT 0-0 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Zagreb
4-0
AWAY HNK Gorica
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Gorica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Zagreb ran out comfortable winners over HNK Gorica 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Dinamo Zagreb as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Dinamo Zagreb had 54% of the ball to HNK Gorica's 46%, shots finished 13-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Zagreb had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Dinamo Zagreb and 0.67 for HNK Gorica.

What was the final score of Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Gorica?

Dinamo Zagreb 4-0 HNK Gorica in the Croatia - HR Nogometni Cup on 28/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Gorica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Zagreb 61%, draw 20%, HNK Gorica 19%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb) ✓ Over 2.5
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