San Carlos 4-0 Santos de Guapiles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 28 Feb 2024

📅28/02/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
20%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.03
Over 2.5
55%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
66%
-9.3pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.5pp
20%
Away Win
14%
+5.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
45%
-0.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
55%
+0.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.5pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Carlos EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Santos de Guapiles EU Bookmakers 17%
+5% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -9%
1.74/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.85
-12% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -5%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
278 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Carlos
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Santos de Guapiles
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
17.01.2024 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 2-4 HT 0-2 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
09.11.2023 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 0-2 HT 0-0 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
10.09.2023 San Carlos San Carlos 2-2 HT 1-0 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
23.04.2023 San Carlos San Carlos 3-2 HT 0-1 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
23.02.2023 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles 1-1 HT 1-0 San Carlos San Carlos KOSTA
18.09.2022 San Carlos San Carlos 1-1 HT 1-0 Santos de Guapiles Santos de Guapiles KOSTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Carlos
4-0
AWAY Santos de Guapiles
66% Ball Possession 34%
13 Total Shots 2
6 Corners 0
POST-MATCH San Carlos vs Santos de Guapiles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Carlos ran out comfortable winners over Santos de Guapiles 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had San Carlos as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, San Carlos had 66% of the ball to Santos de Guapiles's 34%, shots finished 13-2.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Carlos had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for San Carlos and 1.33 for Santos de Guapiles.

What was the final score of San Carlos vs Santos de Guapiles?

San Carlos 4-0 Santos de Guapiles in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 28/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Carlos vs Santos de Guapiles?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Carlos win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split San Carlos 57%, draw 23%, Santos de Guapiles 20%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Carlos), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (San Carlos) ✓ Over 2.5
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