Houston Dynamo 1-0 St. Louis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kuzey / Orta Amerika - CONCACAF Şampiyonlar Ligi, 28 Feb 2024

📅28/02/2024 · 🕒06:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.9
Draw
33%
3.54
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
49%
-15.3pp
33%
Draw
25%
+8.4pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+6.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.9pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Houston Dynamo EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Louis EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Houston Dynamo
0W-0D-1L
AWAY St. Louis
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.67 xG 1.23
60% Ball Possession 40%
6 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
305 Passes 176
76% Pass Accuracy 70%
16 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 0
21.02.2024 St. Louis St. Louis 2-1 HT 0-0 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo Kuzey / Orta Amerika - CONCACAF Şampiyonlar Ligi
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Houston Dynamo
1-0
AWAY St. Louis
1.01 xG 0.80
68% Ball Possession 32%
12 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
524 Passes 199
86% Pass Accuracy 72%
25 Box Touches 12
22 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Houston Dynamo squeezed past St. Louis 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Houston Dynamo made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Houston Dynamo had 68% of the ball to St. Louis's 32%, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 1.01 to 0.80.

What was the final score of Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis?

Houston Dynamo 1-0 St. Louis in the Kuzey / Orta Amerika - CONCACAF Şampiyonlar Ligi on 28/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Houston Dynamo win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Houston Dynamo 33%, draw 33%, St. Louis 33%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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