Jagiellonia Bialystok 2-1 Korona Kielce — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Cup, 28 Feb 2024

Jagiellonia Bialystok
2-1 HT 0-0
Korona Kielce
📅28/02/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Poland - Cup – 2023/2024

Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Korona Kielce Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.82
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
34%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.62
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
3.33
6+ Goals
11%
12.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.48
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.0
X/1
10%
4.27
X/2
13%
7.91
X/X
13%
5.12
2/1
10%
23.15
2/2
13%
5.82
2/X
7%
14.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
50%
-12.7pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.5pp
34%
Away Win
25%
+9.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.5pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Jagiellonia Bialystok v Korona Kielce — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jagiellonia Bialystok EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Korona Kielce EU Bookmakers 29%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -37% / -37%
2.00/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.02/1.29
-3% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -99% / +22%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 3.0

Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Korona Kielce Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jagiellonia Bialystok
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Korona Kielce
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.33 xG 1.57
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
381 Passes 257
79% Pass Accuracy 73%
26 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
11.11.2023 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 2-2 HT 1-0 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok POL
15.04.2023 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 2-1 HT 0-1 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok POL
02.10.2022 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok 4-1 HT 1-1 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL
16.02.2020 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok 0-0 HT 0-0 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL
16.03.2019 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok 1-3 HT 0-2 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL
07.10.2018 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 1-1 HT 0-1 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok POL

Jagiellonia Bialystok 2-1 Korona Kielce — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jagiellonia Bialystok
2-1
AWAY Korona Kielce
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Korona Kielce
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jagiellonia Bialystok edged past Korona Kielce 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Jagiellonia Bialystok found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Jagiellonia Bialystok had 58% of the ball to Korona Kielce's 42%, shots finished 17-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Korona Kielce led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Jagiellonia Bialystok and 1.50 for Korona Kielce.

What was the final score of Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Korona Kielce?

Jagiellonia Bialystok 2-1 Korona Kielce in the Poland - Cup on 28/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Korona Kielce?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jagiellonia Bialystok win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Jagiellonia Bialystok 38%, draw 28%, Korona Kielce 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jagiellonia Bialystok), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Jagiellonia Bialystok) ✓ BTTS Yes
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