Wisla Krakow 2-1 Widzew Lodz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Cup, 28 Feb 2024

📅28/02/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.57
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
41%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.1
Over 2.5
56%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.05
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
26%
3.09
6+ Goals
12%
9.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
35%
-2.0pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
41%
Away Win
39%
+2.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.9pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wisla Krakow EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Widzew Lodz EU Bookmakers 43%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +41% / +41%
1.98/1.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
+70% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +28%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
331 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wisla Krakow
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Widzew Lodz
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 1
02.12.2021 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 1-3 HT 1-0 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow POLK
05.04.2014 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 2-1 HT 1-0 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow POL
29.10.2013 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow 3-0 HT 2-0 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
26.04.2013 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow 1-0 HT 0-0 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
26.10.2012 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 1-2 HT 1-2 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow POL
04.12.2011 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow 1-0 HT 1-0 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wisla Krakow
2-1
AWAY Widzew Lodz
55% Ball Possession 45%
24 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 5
6 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Wisla Krakow vs Widzew Lodz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wisla Krakow squeezed past Widzew Lodz 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Widzew Lodz at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Wisla Krakow had 55% of the ball to Widzew Lodz's 45%, shots finished 24-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wisla Krakow had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Wisla Krakow and 0.67 for Widzew Lodz.

What was the final score of Wisla Krakow vs Widzew Lodz?

Wisla Krakow 2-1 Widzew Lodz in the Poland - Cup on 28/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wisla Krakow vs Widzew Lodz?

Before kick-off our model rated an Widzew Lodz win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Wisla Krakow 33%, draw 25%, Widzew Lodz 41%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Widzew Lodz) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Widzew Lodz) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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