Kerry 0-1 Dundalk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 28 Feb 2025

Kerry
0-1 HT 0-1
Dundalk
📅28/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Ireland - 1st Division – 2025

Kerry vs Dundalk Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.65
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
49%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.68
Over 2.5
51%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.62
2-3 Goals
41%
1.71
4-5 Goals
22%
3.99
6+ Goals
8%
19.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
21%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
19%
+7.7pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
49%
Away Win
55%
-6.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
56%
-6.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
44%
+6.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.1pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kerry v Dundalk — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kerry EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundalk EU Bookmakers 59%
-5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.10/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.98/1.53
-10% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -41%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
216 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.6 Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Kerry vs Dundalk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundalk squeezed past Kerry 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Dundalk as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

What was the final score of Kerry vs Dundalk?

Kerry 0-1 Dundalk in the Ireland - 1st Division on 28/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kerry vs Dundalk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dundalk win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Kerry 26%, draw 25%, Dundalk 49%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dundalk), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dundalk) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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