Valladolid 1-1 Las Palmas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 28 Feb 2025

Valladolid
1-1 HT 0-1
Las Palmas
📅28/02/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Valladolid vs Las Palmas Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.64
Over 2.5
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.54
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
4.31
6+ Goals
9%
22.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.49
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
7%
13.25
X/1
11%
6.07
X/2
14%
5.27
X/X
15%
3.9
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
16%
3.59
2/X
7%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+2.1pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.3pp
36%
Away Win
38%
-1.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.9pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Valladolid v Las Palmas — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valladolid EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Las Palmas EU Bookmakers 42%
+4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -52% / -52%
1.22/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/3.99
-2% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -59%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
226 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 77%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
18.6 Crosses 9.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5

Valladolid vs Las Palmas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valladolid
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Las Palmas
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.66 xG 0.96
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
318 Passes 319
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 12
25 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.12.2024 Las Palmas Las Palmas 2-1 HT 1-1 Valladolid Valladolid İS1
19.03.2022 Valladolid Valladolid 0-1 HT 0-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS2
15.12.2021 Valladolid Valladolid 3-1 HT 1-1 Las Palmas Las Palmas İSPK
15.08.2021 Las Palmas Las Palmas 1-1 HT 0-0 Valladolid Valladolid İS2
13.06.2015 Las Palmas Las Palmas 0-0 HT 0-0 Valladolid Valladolid İS2
10.06.2015 Valladolid Valladolid 1-1 HT 1-1 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS2

Valladolid 1-1 Las Palmas — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valladolid
1-1
AWAY Las Palmas
1.80 xG 0.18
65% Ball Possession 35%
23 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 3
13 Corners 4
456 Passes 221
86% Pass Accuracy 73%
36 Box Touches 12
47 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Valladolid vs Las Palmas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valladolid and Las Palmas shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 29% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Valladolid had 65% of the ball to Las Palmas's 35%, shots finished 23-4, expected goals 1.80 to 0.18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Las Palmas led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Valladolid and 1.00 for Las Palmas.

What was the final score of Valladolid vs Las Palmas?

Valladolid 1-1 Las Palmas in the Spain - Primera Liga on 28/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valladolid vs Las Palmas?

Before kick-off our model rated an Las Palmas win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Valladolid 34%, draw 29%, Las Palmas 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Las Palmas), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Las Palmas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →