Las Palmas 2-1 Valladolid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.75
Over 2.5
51%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.96
No
47%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.02
2-3 Goals
44%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.96
6+ Goals
9%
17.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
2.32
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
17.95
X/1
13%
4.21
X/2
8%
11.7
X/X
10%
5.36
2/1
7%
29.0
2/2
8%
9.76
2/X EV+ ✗
10%
19.15
Value flag · 2/X at 19.15 — our 10% vs market 3.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
57%
-5.5pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.3pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
53%
-3.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
47%
+3.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.3pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Las Palmas EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Valladolid EU Bookmakers 21%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -23%
0.76/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.70
-50% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -5%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
431 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 73%
15.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
22.3 Crosses 17.8
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Las Palmas
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Valladolid
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.92 xG 1.78
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
290 Passes 308
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
11 Box Touches 24
8 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 3
19.03.2022 Valladolid Valladolid 0-1 HT 0-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS2
15.12.2021 Valladolid Valladolid 3-1 HT 1-1 Las Palmas Las Palmas İSPK
15.08.2021 Las Palmas Las Palmas 1-1 HT 0-0 Valladolid Valladolid İS2
13.06.2015 Las Palmas Las Palmas 0-0 HT 0-0 Valladolid Valladolid İS2
10.06.2015 Valladolid Valladolid 1-1 HT 1-1 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS2
26.04.2015 Las Palmas Las Palmas 1-1 HT 0-0 Valladolid Valladolid İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Las Palmas
2-1
AWAY Valladolid
1.10 xG 1.31
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
433 Passes 281
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 13
9 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Las Palmas vs Valladolid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Las Palmas nicked a narrow win over Valladolid 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Las Palmas as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Las Palmas had 58% of the ball to Valladolid's 42%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 1.10 to 1.31.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Las Palmas and 1.00 for Valladolid.

What was the final score of Las Palmas vs Valladolid?

Las Palmas 2-1 Valladolid in the Spain - Primera Liga on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Las Palmas vs Valladolid?

Before kick-off our model rated a Las Palmas win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Las Palmas 52%, draw 27%, Valladolid 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Las Palmas), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Las Palmas) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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