Valencia 0-1 Rayo Vallecano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 7 Dec 2024

Valencia
0-1 HT 0-1
Rayo Vallecano
📅07/12/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2025/2026

Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.48
Over 2.5
36%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.13
No
62%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2.22
2-3 Goals
35%
1.82
4-5 Goals
19%
5.74
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.38
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
16.2
X/1
21%
4.88
X/2
12%
7.89
X/X
16%
3.87
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
11%
6.71
2/X
6%
16.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
+0.0pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.5pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+2.5pp
64%
Under 2.5
64%
-0.0pp
36%
Over 2.5
36%
+0.0pp
38%
BTTS Yes
43%
-5.1pp
62%
BTTS No
57%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Valencia v Rayo Vallecano — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valencia EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Rayo Vallecano EU Bookmakers 29%
+3% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -10%
1.35/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.25
-10% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +36%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
283 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 72%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
22.1 Crosses 16.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.9

Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valencia
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Rayo Vallecano
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.29 xG 0.86
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
264 Passes 278
72% Pass Accuracy 72%
24 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
12.05.2024 Valencia Valencia 0-0 HT 0-0 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano İS1
19.12.2023 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 0-1 HT 0-0 Valencia Valencia İS1
03.04.2023 Valencia Valencia 1-1 HT 0-1 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano İS1
10.09.2022 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 2-1 HT 1-0 Valencia Valencia İS1
11.04.2022 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 1-1 HT 0-0 Valencia Valencia İS1
27.11.2021 Valencia Valencia 1-1 HT 1-0 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano İS1

Valencia 0-1 Rayo Vallecano — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valencia
0-1
AWAY Rayo Vallecano
1.27 xG 0.90
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 4
379 Passes 208
82% Pass Accuracy 67%
29 Box Touches 8
40 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rayo Vallecano nicked a narrow win over Valencia 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Valencia at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Valencia had 61% of the ball to Rayo Vallecano's 39%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 1.27 to 0.90.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Valencia and 0.83 for Rayo Vallecano.

What was the final score of Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano?

Valencia 0-1 Rayo Vallecano in the Spain - Primera Liga on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valencia win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Valencia 44%, draw 28%, Rayo Vallecano 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Valencia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Valencia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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