Real Betis 2-2 Barcelona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.65
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
51%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.63
Over 2.5
61%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.53
No
42%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
6.3
2-3 Goals
41%
2.12
4-5 Goals
25%
2.58
6+ Goals
13%
5.57
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
8.85
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
21.7
1/X
8%
18.5
X/1
9%
13.6
X/2
21%
4.55
X/X
7%
8.4
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
20%
2.0
2/X
5%
18.4
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.7 — our 10% vs market 3.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
18%
+10.9pp
19%
Draw
20%
-0.4pp
51%
Away Win
62%
-10.4pp
39%
Under 2.5
34%
+4.8pp
61%
Over 2.5
66%
-4.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
61%
-3.4pp
42%
BTTS No
39%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Betis EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Barcelona EU Bookmakers 66%
-4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +1%
1.19/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/1.12
+10% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -12%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
284 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 482 · 86%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.1
15.5 Crosses 14.7
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Betis
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Barcelona
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
0.76 xG 2.15
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
302 Passes 568
81% Pass Accuracy 89%
18 Box Touches 31
10 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
21.01.2024 Real Betis Real Betis 2-4 HT 0-1 Barcelona Barcelona İS1
16.09.2023 Barcelona Barcelona 5-0 HT 2-0 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
29.04.2023 Barcelona Barcelona 4-0 HT 3-0 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
01.02.2023 Real Betis Real Betis 1-2 HT 0-0 Barcelona Barcelona İS1
12.01.2023 Real Betis Real Betis 2-2 HT 0-1 Barcelona Barcelona İSSK
07.05.2022 Real Betis Real Betis 1-2 HT 0-0 Barcelona Barcelona İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Betis
2-2
AWAY Barcelona
3.15 xG 1.92
38% Ball Possession 62%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
230 Passes 447
74% Pass Accuracy 86%
23 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Real Betis vs Barcelona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Betis and Barcelona couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Barcelona at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Real Betis had 38% of the ball to Barcelona's 62%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 3.15 to 1.92.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barcelona led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Real Betis and 3.17 for Barcelona.

What was the final score of Real Betis vs Barcelona?

Real Betis 2-2 Barcelona in the Spain - Primera Liga on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Betis vs Barcelona?

Before kick-off our model rated an Barcelona win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Real Betis 29%, draw 19%, Barcelona 51%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Barcelona) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Barcelona) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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