Girona 0-3 Real Madrid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 7 Dec 2024

Girona
0-3 HT 0-1
Real Madrid
📅07/12/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2025/2026

Girona vs Real Madrid Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.69
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
42%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.29
Over 2.5
62%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.55
No
41%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.78
2-3 Goals
32%
1.94
4-5 Goals
33%
2.87
6+ Goals
13%
7.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
6.74
1/2
8%
23.85
1/X
8%
16.1
X/1
11%
9.98
X/2
12%
4.88
X/X
15%
6.59
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
22%
2.48
2/X
4%
15.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
24%
+7.5pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.0pp
42%
Away Win
53%
-11.6pp
38%
Under 2.5
40%
-1.9pp
62%
Over 2.5
60%
+1.9pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.6pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Girona v Real Madrid — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Girona EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Madrid EU Bookmakers 57%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +11%
1.25/1.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/1.09
+54% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +16%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
341 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 403 · 83%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.5
17.8 Crosses 16.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0

Girona vs Real Madrid Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Girona
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Real Madrid
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.78 xG 2.35
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
373 Passes 522
85% Pass Accuracy 89%
17 Box Touches 34
17 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.02.2024 Real Madrid Real Madrid 4-0 HT 2-0 Girona Girona İS1
30.09.2023 Girona Girona 0-3 HT 0-2 Real Madrid Real Madrid İS1
25.04.2023 Girona Girona 4-2 HT 2-1 Real Madrid Real Madrid İS1
30.10.2022 Real Madrid Real Madrid 1-1 HT 0-0 Girona Girona İS1
17.02.2019 Real Madrid Real Madrid 1-2 HT 1-0 Girona Girona İS1
31.01.2019 Girona Girona 1-3 HT 0-2 Real Madrid Real Madrid İSPK

Girona 0-3 Real Madrid — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Girona
0-3
AWAY Real Madrid
0.35 xG 0.92
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 3
421 Passes 626
90% Pass Accuracy 93%
17 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Girona vs Real Madrid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Madrid ran out comfortable winners over Girona 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Real Madrid as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (62%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.

On the day, Girona had 42% of the ball to Real Madrid's 58%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.35 to 0.92.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Madrid led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Girona and 2.33 for Real Madrid.

What was the final score of Girona vs Real Madrid?

Girona 0-3 Real Madrid in the Spain - Primera Liga on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Girona vs Real Madrid?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Girona 31%, draw 27%, Real Madrid 42%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Madrid), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Madrid) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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