Real Betis 2-4 Barcelona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 21 Jan 2024

Real Betis
2-4 HT 0-1
Barcelona
📅21/01/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2023/2024

Real Betis vs Barcelona Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.46
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
41%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.29
Over 2.5
53%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.76
2-3 Goals
38%
1.93
4-5 Goals
24%
2.85
6+ Goals
13%
7.89
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.63
1/2
8%
20.65
1/X
5%
13.75
X/1
13%
8.45
X/2
17%
4.44
X/X
13%
5.83
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
16%
2.31
2/X
9%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
25%
+7.3pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.1pp
41%
Away Win
50%
-9.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
40%
+7.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
60%
-7.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.7pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Real Betis v Barcelona — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Betis EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Barcelona EU Bookmakers 55%
-7% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +14%
0.97/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/1.05
-32% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -18%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
307 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 419 · 82%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.2
15.8 Crosses 14.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3

Real Betis vs Barcelona Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Betis
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Barcelona
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.67 xG 1.82
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
305 Passes 575
80% Pass Accuracy 89%
17 Box Touches 32
10 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
16.09.2023 Barcelona Barcelona 5-0 HT 2-0 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
29.04.2023 Barcelona Barcelona 4-0 HT 3-0 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
01.02.2023 Real Betis Real Betis 1-2 HT 0-0 Barcelona Barcelona İS1
12.01.2023 Real Betis Real Betis 2-2 HT 0-1 Barcelona Barcelona İSSK
07.05.2022 Real Betis Real Betis 1-2 HT 0-0 Barcelona Barcelona İS1
04.12.2021 Barcelona Barcelona 0-1 HT 0-0 Real Betis Real Betis İS1

Real Betis 2-4 Barcelona — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Betis
2-4
AWAY Barcelona
1.14 xG 2.96
36% Ball Possession 64%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
261 Passes 504
83% Pass Accuracy 87%
19 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Real Betis vs Barcelona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona beat Real Betis 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Barcelona as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Real Betis had 36% of the ball to Barcelona's 64%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.14 to 2.96.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barcelona led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Real Betis and 2.50 for Barcelona.

What was the final score of Real Betis vs Barcelona?

Real Betis 2-4 Barcelona in the Spain - Primera Liga on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Betis vs Barcelona?

Before kick-off our model rated an Barcelona win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Real Betis 33%, draw 26%, Barcelona 41%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barcelona), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Barcelona) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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