Osasuna 3-2 Getafe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
31%
2.83
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.44
Over 2.5
41%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.27
No
56%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
1.99
2-3 Goals
40%
1.86
4-5 Goals
18%
6.77
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.5
1/2
9%
34.0
1/X
8%
14.8
X/1
13%
4.54
X/2
9%
6.11
X/X
15%
3.21
2/1
9%
34.0
2/2
12%
5.29
2/X
8%
15.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.4pp
31%
Draw
32%
-0.3pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
66%
-6.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
34%
+6.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.4pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osasuna EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Getafe EU Bookmakers 32%
+6% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -17%
1.32/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.32
-15% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +0%
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
327 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 194 · 63%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
21.8 Crosses 19.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Osasuna
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Getafe
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.59 xG 0.93
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
316 Passes 224
73% Pass Accuracy 65%
16 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 4
17.09.2023 Getafe Getafe 3-2 HT 1-1 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
28.05.2023 Getafe Getafe 2-1 HT 1-1 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
18.09.2022 Osasuna Osasuna 0-2 HT 0-1 Getafe Getafe İS1
11.05.2022 Osasuna Osasuna 1-1 HT 1-1 Getafe Getafe İS1
19.12.2021 Getafe Getafe 1-0 HT 0-0 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
03.04.2021 Osasuna Osasuna 0-0 HT 0-0 Getafe Getafe İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osasuna
3-2
AWAY Getafe
1.18 xG 1.43
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 4
180 Passes 265
66% Pass Accuracy 72%
13 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 23
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Osasuna vs Getafe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Osasuna edged past Getafe 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 31% / 30% — and on the day Osasuna made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Osasuna had 42% of the ball to Getafe's 58%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.18 to 1.43.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Getafe led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Osasuna and 1.50 for Getafe.

What was the final score of Osasuna vs Getafe?

Osasuna 3-2 Getafe in the Spain - Primera Liga on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Osasuna vs Getafe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Osasuna win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Osasuna 39%, draw 31%, Getafe 30%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Osasuna) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Osasuna) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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