Girona vs Sevilla Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Girona v Sevilla — Team-Based Signals
Girona vs Sevilla Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-1
Girona
İS1
0-2
HT 0-1
Girona
İS1
2-1
HT 0-1
Sevilla
İS1
1-0
HT 0-0
Sevilla
İS1
2-0
HT 0-0
Girona
İS1
1-0
HT 0-0
Girona
İS1
Girona 5-1 Sevilla — Actual Match Statistics
Girona ran out comfortable winners over Sevilla 5-1. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Girona as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Girona had 55% of the ball to Sevilla's 45%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 2.29 to 0.66.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Girona had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Girona and 0.83 for Sevilla.
What was the final score of Girona vs Sevilla?
Girona 5-1 Sevilla in the Spain - Primera Liga on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Girona vs Sevilla?
Before kick-off our model rated a Girona win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Girona 49%, draw 22%, Sevilla 29%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Girona), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.