Valencia 0-0 Rayo Vallecano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.31
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
5.28
6+ Goals
8%
33.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
3.21
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.25
X/1
10%
4.48
X/2
16%
6.47
X/X
16%
3.66
2/1
6%
32.5
2/2
8%
5.35
2/X
7%
14.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.4pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.4pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+1.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.3pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valencia EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Rayo Vallecano EU Bookmakers 31%
+4% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -4%
1.33/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.22
-6% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +30%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
307 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 75%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
20.7 Crosses 16.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valencia
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Rayo Vallecano
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.48 xG 1.03
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
252 Passes 275
70% Pass Accuracy 73%
24 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 3
19.12.2023 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 0-1 HT 0-0 Valencia Valencia İS1
03.04.2023 Valencia Valencia 1-1 HT 0-1 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano İS1
10.09.2022 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 2-1 HT 1-0 Valencia Valencia İS1
11.04.2022 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 1-1 HT 0-0 Valencia Valencia İS1
27.11.2021 Valencia Valencia 1-1 HT 1-0 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano İS1
06.04.2019 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 2-0 HT 1-0 Valencia Valencia İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valencia
0-0
AWAY Rayo Vallecano
1.31 xG 0.57
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 3
277 Passes 276
74% Pass Accuracy 73%
28 Box Touches 13
26 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valencia and Rayo Vallecano fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Valencia at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Valencia had 50% of the ball to Rayo Vallecano's 50%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.31 to 0.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rayo Vallecano led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Valencia and 1.17 for Rayo Vallecano.

What was the final score of Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano?

Valencia 0-0 Rayo Vallecano in the Spain - Primera Liga on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valencia win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Valencia 42%, draw 28%, Rayo Vallecano 29%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Valencia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Valencia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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