Real Betis 3-2 Almeria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.43
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
24%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.33
Over 2.5
57%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.91
2-3 Goals
39%
1.94
4-5 Goals
25%
2.78
6+ Goals
13%
7.43
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
66%
-12.4pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.5pp
24%
Away Win
15%
+8.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
39%
+4.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
61%
-4.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.6pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Betis EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Almeria EU Bookmakers 18%
-5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +1%
1.81/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.68
-14% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -12%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
424 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 75%
29.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
17.4 Crosses 15.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Betis
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Almeria
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.83 xG 1.88
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
323 Passes 359
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
03.12.2023 Almeria Almeria 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
11.02.2023 Almeria Almeria 2-3 HT 1-2 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
16.10.2022 Real Betis Real Betis 3-1 HT 1-0 Almeria Almeria İS1
04.08.2021 Real Betis Real Betis 1-2 HT 1-2 Almeria Almeria HAZ
02.09.2020 Real Betis Real Betis 2-0 HT 1-0 Almeria Almeria HAZ
16.12.2014 Almeria Almeria 2-1 HT 0-0 Real Betis Real Betis İSPK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Betis
3-2
AWAY Almeria
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
425 Passes 481
84% Pass Accuracy 87%
POST-MATCH Real Betis vs Almeria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Betis squeezed past Almeria 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Real Betis as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Real Betis had 47% of the ball to Almeria's 53%, shots finished 14-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Betis had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Real Betis and 1.17 for Almeria.

What was the final score of Real Betis vs Almeria?

Real Betis 3-2 Almeria in the Spain - Primera Liga on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Betis vs Almeria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Betis win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Real Betis 53%, draw 23%, Almeria 24%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Betis), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Real Betis) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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