Atletico Madrid 1-0 Celta Vigo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 12 May 2024

Atletico Madrid
1-0 HT 0-0
Celta Vigo
📅12/05/2024 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2023/2024

Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.43
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
24%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.29
Over 2.5
55%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.69
2-3 Goals
39%
1.91
4-5 Goals
27%
2.85
6+ Goals
12%
7.94
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.72
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
17.8
X/1
15%
3.69
X/2
11%
13.85
X/X
12%
6.83
2/1
8%
20.9
2/2
6%
10.35
2/X
6%
18.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
66%
-13.8pp
25%
Draw
20%
+4.8pp
24%
Away Win
15%
+8.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
40%
+5.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
60%
-5.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.5pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atletico Madrid v Celta Vigo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Madrid EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Celta Vigo EU Bookmakers 18%
+5% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +5%
1.79/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.69
+11% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +58% / -9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
374 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 77%
28.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
17.5 Crosses 15.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0

Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Madrid
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Celta Vigo
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.19 xG 1.31
49% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
414 Passes 428
83% Pass Accuracy 85%
23 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
21.10.2023 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 0-3 HT 0-1 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid İS1
12.02.2023 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 0-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid İS1
10.09.2022 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 4-1 HT 1-0 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS1
26.02.2022 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 2-0 HT 1-0 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS1
15.08.2021 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 1-2 HT 0-1 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid İS1
08.02.2021 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 2-2 HT 1-1 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo İS1

Atletico Madrid 1-0 Celta Vigo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Madrid
1-0
AWAY Celta Vigo
1.36 xG 0.45
56% Ball Possession 44%
21 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 7
560 Passes 424
88% Pass Accuracy 85%
36 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Madrid squeezed past Celta Vigo 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Atletico Madrid as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atletico Madrid had 56% of the ball to Celta Vigo's 44%, shots finished 21-6, expected goals 1.36 to 0.45.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Madrid had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Atletico Madrid and 0.67 for Celta Vigo.

What was the final score of Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo?

Atletico Madrid 1-0 Celta Vigo in the Spain - Primera Liga on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Atletico Madrid 52%, draw 25%, Celta Vigo 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Madrid) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Madrid) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS1 More Spain - Primera Liga
12 May 2024
15:00 Cadiz vs Getafe Analysis →
19:30 Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano Analysis →
22:00 Real Betis vs Almeria Analysis →