Queensland Lions 3-0 Brisbane Roar II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Queensland NPL, 28 Feb 2025

📅28/02/2025 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.37
Draw
20%
4.95
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.46
No
42%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
5%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
68%
-9.5pp
20%
Draw
17%
+2.7pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+6.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
64%
-6.6pp
42%
BTTS No
36%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Queensland Lions EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Brisbane Roar II EU Bookmakers 18%
-13% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
2.25/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/2.38
+5% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / -5%
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
395 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.3 Crosses 11.5
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Queensland Lions
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Brisbane Roar II
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.46 xG 0.62
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
472 Passes 288
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.06.2024 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II 0-5 HT 0-3 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVNPL
17.03.2024 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions 1-2 HT 0-1 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II AVNPL
23.06.2023 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions 3-1 HT 0-1 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II AVSQ
19.03.2023 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II 0-1 HT 0-1 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVNPL
24.07.2022 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II 1-3 HT 1-2 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVSQ
22.04.2022 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions 4-0 HT 1-0 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II AVSQ
POST-MATCH Queensland Lions vs Brisbane Roar II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Queensland Lions ran out comfortable winners over Brisbane Roar II 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Queensland Lions as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (66%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Queensland Lions had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Queensland Lions and 0.67 for Brisbane Roar II.

What was the final score of Queensland Lions vs Brisbane Roar II?

Queensland Lions 3-0 Brisbane Roar II in the Australia - Queensland NPL on 28/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Queensland Lions vs Brisbane Roar II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Queensland Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Queensland Lions 59%, draw 20%, Brisbane Roar II 21%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Queensland Lions), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Queensland Lions) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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