Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 1-0 Dibba Al Hisn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 28 Feb 2025

📅28/02/2025 · 🕒16:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.3
Draw
23%
4.95
Away
21%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.59
Over 2.5
51%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
25%
5.28
2-3 Goals
40%
1.97
4-5 Goals
22%
2.52
6+ Goals
13%
5.79
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.28 — our 25% vs market 13.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
72%
-15.9pp
22%
Draw
17%
+5.5pp
21%
Away Win
11%
+10.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
35%
+14.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
65%
-14.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.7pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Jazira Abu Dhabi EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Dibba Al Hisn EU Bookmakers 14%
+1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.65/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.88
-3% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -7%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
439 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 74%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
16.5 Crosses 11.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Jazira Abu Dhabi
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Dibba Al Hisn
6.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
3.84 xG 0.28
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
486 Passes 246
90% Pass Accuracy 84%
27 Box Touches 13
8 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
05.10.2024 Dibba Al Hisn Dibba Al Hisn 1-6 HT 0-4 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi BAE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Jazira Abu Dhabi
1-0
AWAY Dibba Al Hisn
2.83 xG 0.50
65% Ball Possession 35%
19 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 6
438 Passes 210
85% Pass Accuracy 76%
45 Box Touches 13
26 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Jazira Abu Dhabi vs Dibba Al Hisn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Jazira Abu Dhabi squeezed past Dibba Al Hisn 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Jazira Abu Dhabi as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Al Jazira Abu Dhabi had 65% of the ball to Dibba Al Hisn's 35%, shots finished 19-7, expected goals 2.83 to 0.50 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Al Jazira Abu Dhabi's control.

What was the final score of Al Jazira Abu Dhabi vs Dibba Al Hisn?

Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 1-0 Dibba Al Hisn in the UAE - League on 28/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Jazira Abu Dhabi vs Dibba Al Hisn?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Jazira Abu Dhabi win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 56%, draw 22%, Dibba Al Hisn 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Jazira Abu Dhabi), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Jazira Abu Dhabi) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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