Al Ahli FC Dubai 2-0 Baniyas SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 28 Feb 2025

📅28/02/2025 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.28
Draw
19%
5.28
Away
15%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.61
Over 2.5
63%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
5.64
2-3 Goals
37%
2.01
4-5 Goals
31%
2.46
6+ Goals
14%
5.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
74%
-7.7pp
18%
Draw
16%
+2.3pp
15%
Away Win
10%
+5.4pp
37%
Under 2.5
35%
+2.3pp
63%
Over 2.5
65%
-2.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.2pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahli FC Dubai EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Baniyas SC EU Bookmakers 12%
+6% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -6%
2.18/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/2.16
+20% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +1%
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
438 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 75%
30.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
19.1 Crosses 12.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahli FC Dubai
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Baniyas SC
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.14 xG 0.62
59% Ball Possession 41%
20 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
397 Passes 244
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
32 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
06.10.2024 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC 1-5 HT 0-1 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai BAE
21.05.2024 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai 2-1 HT 1-1 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC BAE
15.12.2023 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai BAE
07.05.2023 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC 1-2 HT 0-0 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai BAE
25.12.2022 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai 1-2 HT 1-2 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC BAE
22.05.2022 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai 3-1 HT 1-1 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC BAE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ahli FC Dubai
2-0
AWAY Baniyas SC
3.09 xG 0.29
58% Ball Possession 42%
28 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 5
369 Passes 241
84% Pass Accuracy 74%
43 Box Touches 12
16 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Ahli FC Dubai vs Baniyas SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli FC Dubai got the better of Baniyas SC 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Ahli FC Dubai as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Ahli FC Dubai had 58% of the ball to Baniyas SC's 42%, shots finished 28-7, expected goals 3.09 to 0.29.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahli FC Dubai had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Al Ahli FC Dubai and 1.17 for Baniyas SC.

What was the final score of Al Ahli FC Dubai vs Baniyas SC?

Al Ahli FC Dubai 2-0 Baniyas SC in the UAE - League on 28/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahli FC Dubai vs Baniyas SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahli FC Dubai win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli FC Dubai 66%, draw 18%, Baniyas SC 15%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahli FC Dubai) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahli FC Dubai) ✗ Over 2.5
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