Baniyas SC 1-5 Al Ahli FC Dubai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒16:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.69
Draw
30%
3.8
Away
38%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.59
Over 2.5
51%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.46
No
46%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.84
2-3 Goals
42%
2.05
4-5 Goals
24%
2.6
6+ Goals
11%
5.94
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
23%
+8.9pp
30%
Draw
23%
+7.4pp
38%
Away Win
54%
-16.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
35%
+14.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
65%
-14.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
64%
-10.1pp
46%
BTTS No
36%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baniyas SC EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahli FC Dubai EU Bookmakers 58%
+11% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -9%
1.46/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/0.96
+34% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -6%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
315 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 83%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.1
17.5 Crosses 20.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baniyas SC
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Al Ahli FC Dubai
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.82 xG 1.93
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
269 Passes 364
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 31
14 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 1
21.05.2024 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai 2-1 HT 1-1 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC BAE
15.12.2023 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai BAE
07.05.2023 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC 1-2 HT 0-0 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai BAE
25.12.2022 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai 1-2 HT 1-2 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC BAE
22.05.2022 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai 3-1 HT 1-1 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC BAE
30.12.2021 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC 4-1 HT 1-1 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai BAE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Baniyas SC
1-5
AWAY Al Ahli FC Dubai
0.35 xG 3.34
33% Ball Possession 67%
3 Total Shots 25
2 Shots on Target 8
0 Corners 8
204 Passes 520
73% Pass Accuracy 91%
10 Box Touches 30
5 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Baniyas SC vs Al Ahli FC Dubai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli FC Dubai cruised past Baniyas SC 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (32% / 30% / 38%) promised a tight game; Al Ahli FC Dubai found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Baniyas SC had 33% of the ball to Al Ahli FC Dubai's 67%, shots finished 3-25, expected goals 0.35 to 3.34.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahli FC Dubai led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Baniyas SC and 1.83 for Al Ahli FC Dubai.

What was the final score of Baniyas SC vs Al Ahli FC Dubai?

Baniyas SC 1-5 Al Ahli FC Dubai in the UAE - League on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baniyas SC vs Al Ahli FC Dubai?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahli FC Dubai win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Baniyas SC 32%, draw 30%, Al Ahli FC Dubai 38%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahli FC Dubai), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahli FC Dubai) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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