Al Ain 1-2 Al Wahda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
32%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.63
Over 2.5
51%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.43
No
52%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
6.18
2-3 Goals
38%
2.09
4-5 Goals
23%
2.55
6+ Goals
13%
5.56
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 6.18 — our 26% vs market 11.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
52%
-9.1pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.5pp
32%
Away Win
25%
+6.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
34%
+14.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
66%
-14.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
66%
-17.8pp
52%
BTTS No
34%
+17.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ain EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Wahda EU Bookmakers 29%
-11% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +19%
1.51/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.59
-22% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / +0%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
326 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 76%
27.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
24.8 Crosses 17.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ain
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Al Wahda
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.22 xG 1.09
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
407 Passes 236
82% Pass Accuracy 70%
28 Box Touches 16
29 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
20.05.2024 Al Wahda Al Wahda 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Ain Al Ain BAE
03.05.2024 Al Wahda Al Wahda 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Ain Al Ain BAELK
18.02.2024 Al Ain Al Ain 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Wahda Al Wahda BAECK
16.12.2023 Al Ain Al Ain 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Wahda Al Wahda BAE
10.03.2023 Al Wahda Al Wahda 0-3 HT 0-1 Al Ain Al Ain BAE
16.12.2022 Al Wahda Al Wahda 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Ain Al Ain BAELK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ain
1-2
AWAY Al Wahda
0.74 xG 1.78
72% Ball Possession 28%
16 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
14 Corners 1
444 Passes 145
85% Pass Accuracy 71%
16 Box Touches 12
32 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Ain vs Al Wahda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Wahda nicked a narrow win over Al Ain 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Al Ain at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Al Ain had 72% of the ball to Al Wahda's 28%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 0.74 to 1.78.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ain had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Al Ain and 0.67 for Al Wahda.

What was the final score of Al Ain vs Al Wahda?

Al Ain 1-2 Al Wahda in the UAE - League on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ain vs Al Wahda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ain win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Al Ain 43%, draw 25%, Al Wahda 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Ain), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Ain) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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