Al Sharjah 2-1 Al Urooba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.18
Draw
15%
6.26
Away
20%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.89
Over 2.5
57%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
6.45
2-3 Goals
39%
2.12
4-5 Goals
26%
2.51
6+ Goals
16%
5.31
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
80%
-15.6pp
15%
Draw
13%
+1.9pp
20%
Away Win
7%
+13.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
31%
+11.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
69%
-11.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.5pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Sharjah EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Urooba EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.93/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/2.01
-13% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / -5%
63% Ball Possession 37%
19 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
522 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 76%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.1
15.5 Crosses 11.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Sharjah
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Al Urooba
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.36 xG 1.09
68% Ball Possession 32%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
552 Passes 215
89% Pass Accuracy 77%
29 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
30.04.2022 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah 5-0 HT 4-0 Al Urooba Al Urooba BAE
04.12.2021 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Urooba Al Urooba BAELK
28.10.2021 Al Urooba Al Urooba 2-2 HT 1-2 Al Sharjah Al Sharjah BAE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Sharjah
2-1
AWAY Al Urooba
1.89 xG 0.41
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 2
322 Passes 232
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
33 Box Touches 9
30 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Al Sharjah vs Al Urooba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Sharjah nicked a narrow win over Al Urooba 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Sharjah as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Al Sharjah had 57% of the ball to Al Urooba's 43%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 1.89 to 0.41 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Al Sharjah's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Al Sharjah had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Al Sharjah and 1.00 for Al Urooba.

What was the final score of Al Sharjah vs Al Urooba?

Al Sharjah 2-1 Al Urooba in the UAE - League on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Sharjah vs Al Urooba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Sharjah win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Al Sharjah 65%, draw 15%, Al Urooba 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Sharjah), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Sharjah) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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