Al Riffa 2-2 East Riffa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Copa del Rey, 28 Feb 2025

📅28/02/2025 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.97
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
23%
3.53
6+ Goals
8%
14.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.97 — our 29% vs market 26.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
26%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
3%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
54%
-5.2pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.0pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+3.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.5pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Riffa EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY East Riffa EU Bookmakers 24%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.25/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.59
-15% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -60%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
364 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Riffa
1W-3D-2L
AWAY East Riffa
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.55 xG 0.79
65% Ball Possession 35%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
768 Passes 197
90% Pass Accuracy 73%
38 Box Touches 16
44 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
15.12.2024 East Riffa East Riffa 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAH
23.04.2024 East Riffa East Riffa 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAH
10.11.2023 Al Riffa Al Riffa 0-1 HT 0-1 East Riffa East Riffa BAH
26.04.2023 East Riffa East Riffa 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAH
22.01.2023 Al Riffa Al Riffa 0-1 HT 0-0 East Riffa East Riffa BAH
06.09.2022 East Riffa East Riffa 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Riffa Al Riffa AFCC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Riffa
2-2
AWAY East Riffa
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 8
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Al Riffa vs East Riffa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Riffa and East Riffa shared the points in a 2-2 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Al Riffa at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Al Riffa had 64% of the ball to East Riffa's 36%, shots finished 15-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, East Riffa led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Al Riffa and 0.67 for East Riffa.

What was the final score of Al Riffa vs East Riffa?

Al Riffa 2-2 East Riffa in the Bahrain - Copa del Rey on 28/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Riffa vs East Riffa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Riffa win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Al Riffa 48%, draw 27%, East Riffa 24%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Riffa), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Riffa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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