East Riffa 1-1 Al Riffa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 23 Apr 2024

📅23/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.87
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
52%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
1.97
Over 2.5
62%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.73
No
37%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.69
2-3 Goals
37%
1.82
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
32%
3.28
6+ Goals
10%
11.6
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.28 — our 32% vs market 25.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
12%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
19%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
22%
+1.5pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.4pp
52%
Away Win
53%
-1.0pp
38%
Under 2.5
47%
-8.4pp
62%
Over 2.5
53%
+8.4pp
63%
BTTS Yes
54%
+9.2pp
37%
BTTS No
46%
-9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME East Riffa EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Riffa EU Bookmakers 57%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -10%
1.03/1.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.09/1.32
+1% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / -32%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
291 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME East Riffa
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Al Riffa
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.79 xG 1.55
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 9
197 Passes 768
73% Pass Accuracy 90%
16 Box Touches 38
9 Crosses 44
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.11.2023 Al Riffa Al Riffa 0-1 HT 0-1 East Riffa East Riffa BAH
26.04.2023 East Riffa East Riffa 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAH
22.01.2023 Al Riffa Al Riffa 0-1 HT 0-0 East Riffa East Riffa BAH
06.09.2022 East Riffa East Riffa 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Riffa Al Riffa AFCC
15.04.2022 Al Riffa Al Riffa 2-2 HT 0-2 East Riffa East Riffa BAH
10.02.2022 East Riffa East Riffa 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAHKK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME East Riffa
1-1
AWAY Al Riffa
36% Ball Possession 64%
4 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH East Riffa vs Al Riffa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

East Riffa and Al Riffa couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Al Riffa at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (63%) landed while over 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

On the day, East Riffa had 36% of the ball to Al Riffa's 64%, shots finished 4-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, East Riffa had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for East Riffa and 0.67 for Al Riffa.

What was the final score of East Riffa vs Al Riffa?

East Riffa 1-1 Al Riffa in the Bahrain - Premier League on 23/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for East Riffa vs Al Riffa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Riffa win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split East Riffa 24%, draw 24%, Al Riffa 52%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Riffa), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Riffa) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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