Sitra 1-1 Al Hadd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 23 Apr 2024

📅23/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.57
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
42%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.78
Over 2.5
50%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.04
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
22%
3.84
6+ Goals
12%
16.9
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.84 — our 22% vs market 20.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
13%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
36%
-6.3pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.5pp
42%
Away Win
37%
+4.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.2pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sitra EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Hadd EU Bookmakers 40%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
0.99/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.88/1.89
-15% / +94% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / -41%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
249 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sitra
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Al Hadd
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
09.11.2023 Al Hadd Al Hadd 3-5 HT 0-4 Sitra Sitra BAH
01.03.2023 Al Hadd Al Hadd 0-2 HT 0-1 Sitra Sitra BAH
01.12.2022 Sitra Sitra 2-2 HT 1-1 Al Hadd Al Hadd BAH
06.05.2022 Al Hadd Al Hadd 1-1 HT 1-1 Sitra Sitra BAH
26.09.2021 Al Hadd Al Hadd 2-1 HT 2-0 Sitra Sitra BAHKK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sitra
1-1
AWAY Al Hadd
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sitra vs Al Hadd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sitra and Al Hadd shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Al Hadd at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Sitra had 43% of the ball to Al Hadd's 57%, shots finished 14-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Sitra had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Sitra and 1.60 for Al Hadd.

What was the final score of Sitra vs Al Hadd?

Sitra 1-1 Al Hadd in the Bahrain - Premier League on 23/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sitra vs Al Hadd?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Hadd win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sitra 29%, draw 29%, Al Hadd 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Hadd) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Hadd) ✓ BTTS Yes
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