Al Hala Muharraq 0-1 Al Shabab Manama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 23 Apr 2024

📅23/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.8
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
37%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.74
Over 2.5
40%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.81
No
61%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.89
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.04
6+ Goals
7%
18.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.89 — our 33% vs market 28.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
-0.4pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.7pp
37%
Away Win
40%
-2.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
54%
+6.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
46%
-6.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
51%
-12.1pp
61%
BTTS No
49%
+12.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Hala Muharraq EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Shabab Manama EU Bookmakers 43%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
0.70/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/0.99
-37% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
313 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Hala Muharraq
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Al Shabab Manama
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2023 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Hala Muharraq Al Hala Muharraq BAH
25.02.2023 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Hala Muharraq Al Hala Muharraq BAH
22.01.2023 Al Hala Muharraq Al Hala Muharraq 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama BAH
04.11.2022 Al Hala Muharraq Al Hala Muharraq 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama BAHK
07.09.2020 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Hala Muharraq Al Hala Muharraq BAH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Hala Muharraq
0-1
AWAY Al Shabab Manama
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 9
0 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Hala Muharraq vs Al Shabab Manama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Shabab Manama edged past Al Hala Muharraq 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 31% / 37% — and on the day Al Shabab Manama made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Al Hala Muharraq had 47% of the ball to Al Shabab Manama's 53%, shots finished 6-9.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Al Hala Muharraq and 0.60 for Al Shabab Manama.

What was the final score of Al Hala Muharraq vs Al Shabab Manama?

Al Hala Muharraq 0-1 Al Shabab Manama in the Bahrain - Premier League on 23/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Hala Muharraq vs Al Shabab Manama?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Shabab Manama win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Al Hala Muharraq 32%, draw 31%, Al Shabab Manama 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Shabab Manama), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Shabab Manama) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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