Randers FC 1-1 AGF Aarhus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 28 Feb 2025

Randers FC
1-1 HT 1-1
AGF Aarhus
📅28/02/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Denmark - Süperlig – 2024/2025

Randers FC vs AGF Aarhus Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.84
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
40%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.59
Over 2.5
52%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.96
No
44%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.5
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
4.86
6+ Goals
9%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.8
1/2
8%
31.5
1/X
7%
13.9
X/1
6%
6.19
X/2
18%
5.01
X/X
16%
3.82
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
34.5
2/2
13%
3.45
2/X
7%
13.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 34.5 — our 9% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-0.4pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.1pp
39%
Away Win
39%
+0.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
59%
-11.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
41%
+11.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
47%
+9.6pp
44%
BTTS No
53%
-9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Randers FC v AGF Aarhus — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Randers FC EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY AGF Aarhus EU Bookmakers 43%
-4% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +15%
1.39/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/0.94
-10% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +71%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
304 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 76%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
20.0 Crosses 22.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4

Randers FC vs AGF Aarhus Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Randers FC
0W-3D-3L
AWAY AGF Aarhus
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.59 xG 1.79
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
309 Passes 313
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.09.2024 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 2-2 HT 1-1 Randers FC Randers FC DAN
30.10.2023 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 2-1 HT 1-1 Randers FC Randers FC DAN
24.09.2023 Randers FC Randers FC 1-1 HT 1-0 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
30.05.2023 Randers FC Randers FC 1-3 HT 1-1 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
03.04.2023 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 1-1 HT 1-1 Randers FC Randers FC DAN
13.03.2023 Randers FC Randers FC 1-2 HT 0-1 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN

Randers FC 1-1 AGF Aarhus — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Randers FC
1-1
AWAY AGF Aarhus
0.90 xG 0.77
64% Ball Possession 36%
8 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 8
345 Passes 159
76% Pass Accuracy 63%
19 Box Touches 13
17 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Randers FC vs AGF Aarhus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Randers FC and AGF Aarhus couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (31% / 29% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Randers FC had 64% of the ball to AGF Aarhus's 36%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 0.90 to 0.77.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AGF Aarhus led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Randers FC and 1.83 for AGF Aarhus.

What was the final score of Randers FC vs AGF Aarhus?

Randers FC 1-1 AGF Aarhus in the Denmark - Süperlig on 28/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Randers FC vs AGF Aarhus?

Before kick-off our model rated an AGF Aarhus win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Randers FC 31%, draw 29%, AGF Aarhus 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AGF Aarhus), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AGF Aarhus) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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