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Caerau (Ely) vs Taffs Well Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Caerau (Ely) v Taffs Well — Team-Based Signals
Caerau (Ely) vs Taffs Well Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
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Caerau (Ely) saw off Taffs Well 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Caerau (Ely) as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (66%), and both reads landed as well.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Caerau (Ely) had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Caerau (Ely) and 0.33 for Taffs Well.
What was the final score of Caerau (Ely) vs Taffs Well?
Caerau (Ely) 3-1 Taffs Well in the Wales - FAW Championship on 28/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Caerau (Ely) vs Taffs Well?
Before kick-off our model rated a Caerau (Ely) win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Caerau (Ely) 60%, draw 23%, Taffs Well 17%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Caerau (Ely)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.