Nassaji Mazandaran 1-0 Shams Azar Qazvin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 28 Feb 2025

📅28/02/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.92
Draw
37%
3.04
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.51
Over 2.5
34%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.13
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.19
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
5.0
6+ Goals
6%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
48%
-10.1pp
37%
Draw
29%
+7.4pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+2.7pp
66%
Under 2.5
62%
+3.8pp
34%
Over 2.5
38%
-3.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.1pp
55%
BTTS No
57%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nassaji Mazandaran EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Shams Azar Qazvin EU Bookmakers 26%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.09/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.36/1.45
-20% / -48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -57% / -35%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
295 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nassaji Mazandaran
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Shams Azar Qazvin
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
26.09.2024 Shams Azar Qazvin Shams Azar Qazvin 0-0 HT 0-0 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran IRAN
13.03.2024 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran 1-0 HT 0-0 Shams Azar Qazvin Shams Azar Qazvin IRAN
14.12.2023 Shams Azar Qazvin Shams Azar Qazvin 2-1 HT 1-0 Nassaji Mazandaran Nassaji Mazandaran IRAN
POST-MATCH Nassaji Mazandaran vs Shams Azar Qazvin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nassaji Mazandaran squeezed past Shams Azar Qazvin 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 37% / 25% — and on the day Nassaji Mazandaran made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Nassaji Mazandaran and 0.67 for Shams Azar Qazvin.

What was the final score of Nassaji Mazandaran vs Shams Azar Qazvin?

Nassaji Mazandaran 1-0 Shams Azar Qazvin in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 28/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nassaji Mazandaran vs Shams Azar Qazvin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nassaji Mazandaran win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Nassaji Mazandaran 38%, draw 37%, Shams Azar Qazvin 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nassaji Mazandaran), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nassaji Mazandaran) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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