Kheybar Khorramabad 1-0 Aluminium Arak — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 28 Feb 2025

📅28/02/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.17
Draw
31%
2.83
Away
40%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.36
Over 2.5
41%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.4
No
58%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
1.8
2-3 Goals
46%
1.81
4-5 Goals
14%
6.9
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
19%
X/X
21%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
28%
+1.1pp
31%
Draw
32%
-1.2pp
40%
Away Win
40%
+0.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
70%
-11.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
30%
+11.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
38%
+4.7pp
58%
BTTS No
62%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kheybar Khorramabad EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Aluminium Arak EU Bookmakers 43%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.02/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.50
+17% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -54%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
270 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kheybar Khorramabad
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Aluminium Arak
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
27.09.2024 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 1-0 HT 1-0 Kheybar Khorramabad Kheybar Khorramabad IRAN
POST-MATCH Kheybar Khorramabad vs Aluminium Arak
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kheybar Khorramabad edged past Aluminium Arak 1-0.

Our pre-match split (29% / 31% / 40%) promised a tight game; Kheybar Khorramabad found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Kheybar Khorramabad vs Aluminium Arak?

Kheybar Khorramabad 1-0 Aluminium Arak in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 28/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kheybar Khorramabad vs Aluminium Arak?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aluminium Arak win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Kheybar Khorramabad 29%, draw 31%, Aluminium Arak 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Aluminium Arak) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aluminium Arak) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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