Al Yarmouk 1-1 Al Salmiyah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kuwait - Premier League, 28 Feb 2025

📅28/02/2025 · 🕒16:55 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.69
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
43%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.38
Over 2.5
45%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.53
No
44%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.75
2-3 Goals
37%
1.9
4-5 Goals
24%
2.62
6+ Goals
11%
6.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.75 — our 28% vs market 15.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
24%
+4.7pp
29%
Draw
23%
+5.6pp
43%
Away Win
53%
-10.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
38%
+16.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
62%
-16.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
61%
-5.5pp
44%
BTTS No
39%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Yarmouk EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Salmiyah EU Bookmakers 57%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -16%
1.40/3.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.15
+13% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -4%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
300 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Yarmouk
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Al Salmiyah
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 9
4 Yellow Cards 4
27.10.2024 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah 2-1 HT 0-1 Al Yarmouk Al Yarmouk KUV
01.12.2022 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Yarmouk Al Yarmouk KUVFK
14.04.2022 Al Yarmouk Al Yarmouk 3-2 HT 3-1 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah KUV
31.12.2021 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Yarmouk Al Yarmouk KUV
02.11.2020 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah 2-1 HT 2-1 Al Yarmouk Al Yarmouk KUV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Yarmouk
1-1
AWAY Al Salmiyah
36% Ball Possession 64%
6 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Yarmouk vs Al Salmiyah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Yarmouk and Al Salmiyah couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Al Salmiyah at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Al Yarmouk had 36% of the ball to Al Salmiyah's 64%, shots finished 6-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Al Salmiyah led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Al Yarmouk and 1.60 for Al Salmiyah.

What was the final score of Al Yarmouk vs Al Salmiyah?

Al Yarmouk 1-1 Al Salmiyah in the Kuwait - Premier League on 28/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Yarmouk vs Al Salmiyah?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Salmiyah win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Al Yarmouk 28%, draw 29%, Al Salmiyah 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Salmiyah) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Salmiyah) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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