Chaves 1-2 Benfica II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 28 Feb 2025

Chaves
1-2 HT 1-0
Benfica II
📅28/02/2025 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Portugal - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Chaves vs Benfica II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.89
2-3 Goals
42%
1.72
4-5 Goals
22%
3.62
6+ Goals
9%
15.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-5.4pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.9pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+3.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.3pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chaves v Benfica II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chaves EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Benfica II EU Bookmakers 29%
-3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +6%
1.40/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.55
-12% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
284 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
20.2 Crosses 15.6
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4

Chaves vs Benfica II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chaves
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Benfica II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.93 xG 1.50
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
264 Passes 381
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.10.2024 Benfica II Benfica II 1-0 HT 0-0 Chaves Chaves POR2
25.02.2022 Chaves Chaves 1-1 HT 0-0 Benfica II Benfica II POR2
03.10.2021 Benfica II Benfica II 3-1 HT 0-0 Chaves Chaves POR2
14.02.2021 Chaves Chaves 0-0 HT 0-0 Benfica II Benfica II POR2
23.09.2020 Benfica II Benfica II 3-4 HT 0-3 Chaves Chaves POR2
03.11.2019 Benfica II Benfica II 1-3 HT 1-0 Chaves Chaves POR2

Chaves 1-2 Benfica II — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chaves
1-2
AWAY Benfica II
1.10 xG 1.29
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
266 Passes 357
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chaves vs Benfica II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benfica II nicked a narrow win over Chaves 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Chaves at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Chaves had 44% of the ball to Benfica II's 56%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.10 to 1.29.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Chaves and 1.50 for Benfica II.

What was the final score of Chaves vs Benfica II?

Chaves 1-2 Benfica II in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 28/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chaves vs Benfica II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chaves win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Chaves 42%, draw 29%, Benfica II 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Chaves) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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