Makhachkala 1-1 Lokomotiv Moscow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 28 Feb 2025

📅28/02/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.99
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
43%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.59
Over 2.5
46%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.48
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
4.89
6+ Goals
9%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.01
1/2
8%
31.0
1/X
9%
14.3
X/1
14%
6.32
X/2
15%
4.83
X/X
9%
3.86
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
21%
3.31
2/X
7%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+1.7pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.3pp
43%
Away Win
41%
+2.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.3pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Makhachkala EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiv Moscow EU Bookmakers 45%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -7%
1.03/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.49
+36% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / -2%
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
288 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 79%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.6
26.8 Crosses 14.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Makhachkala
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Lokomotiv Moscow
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.76 xG 1.01
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 5
320 Passes 270
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 29
25 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
10.08.2024 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow 2-0 HT 1-0 Makhachkala Makhachkala RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Makhachkala
1-1
AWAY Lokomotiv Moscow
0.66 xG 2.42
32% Ball Possession 68%
7 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 3
177 Passes 513
60% Pass Accuracy 83%
11 Box Touches 31
10 Crosses 30
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Makhachkala vs Lokomotiv Moscow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Makhachkala and Lokomotiv Moscow couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Lokomotiv Moscow at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Makhachkala had 32% of the ball to Lokomotiv Moscow's 68%, shots finished 7-19, expected goals 0.66 to 2.42.

What was the final score of Makhachkala vs Lokomotiv Moscow?

Makhachkala 1-1 Lokomotiv Moscow in the Russia - Premier League on 28/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Makhachkala vs Lokomotiv Moscow?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lokomotiv Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Makhachkala 32%, draw 25%, Lokomotiv Moscow 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lokomotiv Moscow), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lokomotiv Moscow) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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