Lokomotiv Moscow 2-0 Makhachkala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
20%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.97
Over 2.5
47%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.65
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.3
6+ Goals
9%
11.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.65 — our 26% vs market 22.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.91
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.4
X/1
16%
3.71
X/2
8%
11.8
X/X
13%
5.61
2/1
13%
23.15
2/2
8%
9.39
2/X
5%
17.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
61%
-6.1pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.2pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+3.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.1pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiv Moscow EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Makhachkala EU Bookmakers 20%
-7% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
1.63/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/2.55
-7% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / +150%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
400 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 73%
27.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
17.4 Crosses 18.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiv Moscow
2-0
AWAY Makhachkala
1.01 xG 0.76
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 9
270 Passes 320
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
29 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lokomotiv Moscow vs Makhachkala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiv Moscow saw off Makhachkala 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lokomotiv Moscow as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Lokomotiv Moscow had 46% of the ball to Makhachkala's 54%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.01 to 0.76.

What was the final score of Lokomotiv Moscow vs Makhachkala?

Lokomotiv Moscow 2-0 Makhachkala in the Russia - Premier League on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Moscow vs Makhachkala?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotiv Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Moscow 55%, draw 25%, Makhachkala 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lokomotiv Moscow), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lokomotiv Moscow) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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