FK Orenburg 2-2 Akron — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.76
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.07
Over 2.5
54%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.99
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals
29%
3.11
6+ Goals
8%
10.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.32
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.0
X/1
20%
4.23
X/2
11%
8.56
X/X
9%
5.43
2/1
8%
21.85
2/2
11%
6.17
2/X
10%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
52%
-9.4pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.3pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.8pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Orenburg EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Akron EU Bookmakers 27%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +62% / +62%
1.89/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/0.71
+37% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +80% /
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
352 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 76%
29.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
25.5 Crosses 15.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Orenburg
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Akron
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 0
27.11.2021 Akron Akron 0-3 HT 0-1 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg RUS1
21.08.2021 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg 1-0 HT 0-0 Akron Akron RUS1
14.03.2021 Akron Akron 1-1 HT 1-0 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg RUS1
19.09.2020 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg 0-0 HT 0-0 Akron Akron RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Orenburg
2-2
AWAY Akron
1.06 xG 1.15
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
292 Passes 294
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 21
28 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FK Orenburg vs Akron
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Orenburg and Akron shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was FK Orenburg at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, FK Orenburg had 50% of the ball to Akron's 50%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 1.06 to 1.15.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, FK Orenburg had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for FK Orenburg and 0.25 for Akron.

What was the final score of FK Orenburg vs Akron?

FK Orenburg 2-2 Akron in the Russia - Premier League on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Orenburg vs Akron?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Orenburg win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split FK Orenburg 43%, draw 27%, Akron 30%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FK Orenburg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FK Orenburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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