Swindon Town 1-1 Bristol Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 28 Feb 2026

📅28/02/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.93
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
24%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
1.89
Over
51%
1.85
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.18
2-3
46%
1.73
4-5
23%
3.31
6+
6%
12.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.64
1/2
2%
34.0
1/X
5%
13.05
X/1
17%
4.62
X/2
9%
7.53
X/X
16%
4.75
2/1
3%
23.95
2/2
13%
5.63
2/X
5%
13.95
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Swindon Town The Market 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Bristol Rovers The Market 29%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.69 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.11
1.13 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.61
Average Attack Strength Average
Average Defense Strength Average
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
410 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 66%
25 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20
22 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Swindon Town
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Bristol Rovers
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.21 xG 1.05
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
273 Passes 286
72% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
13.12.2025 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 0-3 HT 0-3 Swindon Town Swindon Town İN2
08.10.2024 Swindon Town Swindon Town 4-0 HT 4-0 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers İNTK
18.10.2022 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 3-0 HT 0-0 Swindon Town Swindon Town İNTK
22.01.2022 Swindon Town Swindon Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers İN2
02.10.2021 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 1-3 HT 1-0 Swindon Town Swindon Town İN2
23.03.2021 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 0-1 HT 0-0 Swindon Town Swindon Town İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Swindon Town
1 - 1
AWAY Bristol Rovers
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
13 Corners 1
193 Passes 177
63% Pass Accuracy 63%
REVIEW Swindon Town vs Bristol Rovers
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Swindon Town and Bristol Rovers traded blows to a 1-1 standstill. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Swindon Town at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

By the numbers, possession split 54% to 46% in Swindon Town's favour, shots finished 16-10.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Swindon Town had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.00 a game for Swindon Town against 0.83 for Bristol Rovers.

Swindon Town vs Bristol Rovers Result & Final Score

Swindon Town 1 - 1 Bristol Rovers in the England - 2nd Division on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Swindon Town vs Bristol Rovers Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Swindon Town win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Swindon Town 50%, draw 26%, Bristol Rovers 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Swindon Town), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Swindon Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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