Bromsgrove Sporting 5-3 AFC Sudbury — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 28 Feb 2026

📅28/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.1
Over 2.5
47%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-6.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+5.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.7pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bromsgrove Sporting EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Sudbury EU Bookmakers 26%
-3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -10%
1.52/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.94
-12% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -18%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
319 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bromsgrove Sporting
1W-1D-2L
AWAY AFC Sudbury
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
29.11.2025 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury 2-2 HT 2-1 Bromsgrove Sporting İNGNLP
01.03.2025 Bromsgrove Sporting 3-0 HT 2-0 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury İNGNLP
23.11.2024 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury 1-0 HT 0-0 Bromsgrove Sporting İNGNLP
04.11.2023 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury 2-0 HT 1-0 Bromsgrove Sporting İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Bromsgrove Sporting vs AFC Sudbury
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bromsgrove Sporting beat AFC Sudbury 5-3. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bromsgrove Sporting as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 5-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, AFC Sudbury led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Bromsgrove Sporting and 1.25 for AFC Sudbury.

What was the final score of Bromsgrove Sporting vs AFC Sudbury?

Bromsgrove Sporting 5-3 AFC Sudbury in the England - Non League Premier on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bromsgrove Sporting vs AFC Sudbury?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bromsgrove Sporting win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Bromsgrove Sporting 45%, draw 27%, AFC Sudbury 28%. The final score 5-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bromsgrove Sporting), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bromsgrove Sporting) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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