AFC Sudbury 1-0 Bromsgrove Sporting — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.82
Draw
19%
3.54
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.97
Over 2.5
55%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
26%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
51%
+1.7pp
19%
Draw
25%
-5.8pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
47%
-1.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
53%
+1.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.0pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Sudbury EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Bromsgrove Sporting EU Bookmakers 28%
-48% / -48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
0.30/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.41
-83% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
284 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 195 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Sudbury
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Bromsgrove Sporting
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
5 Corners 2
04.11.2023 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury 2-0 HT 1-0 Bromsgrove Sporting İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Sudbury
1-0
AWAY Bromsgrove Sporting
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH AFC Sudbury vs Bromsgrove Sporting
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Sudbury nicked a narrow win over Bromsgrove Sporting 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had AFC Sudbury as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AFC Sudbury had 50% of the ball to Bromsgrove Sporting's 50%, shots finished 7-11.

What was the final score of AFC Sudbury vs Bromsgrove Sporting?

AFC Sudbury 1-0 Bromsgrove Sporting in the England - Non League Premier on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Sudbury vs Bromsgrove Sporting?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Sudbury win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split AFC Sudbury 53%, draw 19%, Bromsgrove Sporting 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Sudbury) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AFC Sudbury) ✗ Over 2.5
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