Kettering Town 2-1 Leiston — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.72
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.15
Over 2.5
55%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-3.7pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.7pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+3.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
43%
+2.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
57%
-2.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.3pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kettering Town EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Leiston EU Bookmakers 26%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +7%
2.51/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.77
+35% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
294 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kettering Town
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Leiston
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.04.2024 Kettering Town Kettering Town 2-2 HT 1-2 Leiston Leiston İNGNLP
24.10.2023 Leiston Leiston 0-2 HT 0-0 Kettering Town Kettering Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Kettering Town vs Leiston
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kettering Town squeezed past Leiston 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kettering Town as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Kettering Town had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Kettering Town and 1.00 for Leiston.

What was the final score of Kettering Town vs Leiston?

Kettering Town 2-1 Leiston in the England - Non League Premier on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kettering Town vs Leiston?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kettering Town win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Kettering Town 50%, draw 24%, Leiston 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kettering Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kettering Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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