AFC Telford United 3-1 St Ives Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
34%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.18
Over 2.5
45%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.6
No
51%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
49%
-11.0pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.2pp
34%
Away Win
27%
+7.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
42%
+12.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
58%
-12.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.5pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Telford United EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY St Ives Town EU Bookmakers 30%
+17% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +6%
1.70/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.68
-2% / +103% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
332 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Telford United
2W-0D-0L
AWAY St Ives Town
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 0
09.12.2023 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United 2-1 HT 1-0 St Ives Town St Ives Town İNGNLP
09.09.2023 St Ives Town St Ives Town 2-3 HT 1-1 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Telford United
3-1
AWAY St Ives Town
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AFC Telford United vs St Ives Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Telford United got the better of St Ives Town 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; AFC Telford United found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AFC Telford United had 56% of the ball to St Ives Town's 44%, shots finished 15-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, AFC Telford United had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for AFC Telford United and 1.50 for St Ives Town.

What was the final score of AFC Telford United vs St Ives Town?

AFC Telford United 3-1 St Ives Town in the England - Non League Premier on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Telford United vs St Ives Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Telford United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split AFC Telford United 38%, draw 28%, St Ives Town 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Telford United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AFC Telford United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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