Hume City 1-0 Bentleigh Greens — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 28 Feb 2026

📅28/02/2026 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
41%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-1.3pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.6pp
41%
Away Win
36%
+4.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+5.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-5.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.7pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hume City EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Bentleigh Greens EU Bookmakers 39%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -9%
1.25/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.57
+25% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +48%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
259 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
15.3 Crosses 17.9
3.2 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hume City
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Bentleigh Greens
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.91 xG 1.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
262 Passes 367
70% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.07.2023 Bentleigh Greens Bentleigh Greens 0-2 HT 0-0 Hume City Hume City AVNPL
22.04.2023 Hume City Hume City 2-3 HT 1-2 Bentleigh Greens Bentleigh Greens AVNPL
24.06.2022 Bentleigh Greens Bentleigh Greens 0-0 HT 0-0 Hume City Hume City AVNPL
26.03.2022 Hume City Hume City 3-4 HT 0-2 Bentleigh Greens Bentleigh Greens AVNPL
25.06.2021 Bentleigh Greens Bentleigh Greens 0-3 HT 0-1 Hume City Hume City AVNPL
27.03.2021 Hume City Hume City 2-0 HT 0-0 Bentleigh Greens Bentleigh Greens AVNPL
POST-MATCH Hume City vs Bentleigh Greens
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hume City nicked a narrow win over Bentleigh Greens 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 24% / 41% — and on the day Hume City made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hume City had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Hume City and 1.17 for Bentleigh Greens.

What was the final score of Hume City vs Bentleigh Greens?

Hume City 1-0 Bentleigh Greens in the Australia - National Premier League on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hume City vs Bentleigh Greens?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bentleigh Greens win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Hume City 36%, draw 24%, Bentleigh Greens 41%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Bentleigh Greens) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bentleigh Greens) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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