Avondale Heights 5-0 Green Gully — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 28 Feb 2026

📅28/02/2026 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
25%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.23
Over 2.5
49%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.53
No
52%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
50%
-0.7pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.1pp
25%
Away Win
27%
-1.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
61%
-13.1pp
52%
BTTS No
39%
+13.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avondale Heights EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Green Gully EU Bookmakers 30%
+1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -18%
1.06/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.60
+12% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
337 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.0
17.2 Crosses 25.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avondale Heights
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Green Gully
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.08.2025 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights 2-1 HT 1-1 Green Gully Green Gully AVNPL
09.05.2025 Green Gully Green Gully 5-2 HT 3-1 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights AVNPL
27.07.2024 Green Gully Green Gully 1-6 HT 0-2 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights AVNPL
27.04.2024 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights 0-1 HT 0-0 Green Gully Green Gully AVNPL
23.06.2023 Green Gully Green Gully 0-4 HT 0-3 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights AVNPL
25.03.2023 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights 3-2 HT 1-0 Green Gully Green Gully AVNPL
POST-MATCH Avondale Heights vs Green Gully
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avondale Heights ran out comfortable winners over Green Gully 5-0. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Avondale Heights as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Avondale Heights had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Avondale Heights and 1.67 for Green Gully.

What was the final score of Avondale Heights vs Green Gully?

Avondale Heights 5-0 Green Gully in the Australia - National Premier League on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avondale Heights vs Green Gully?

Before kick-off our model rated a Avondale Heights win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Avondale Heights 49%, draw 26%, Green Gully 25%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avondale Heights), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Avondale Heights) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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